Wednesday, April 27, 2005

David Patten and Santana Moss as FF prospects

The future is bleak for Redskins fans that are looking to the WR corps to put up some statistics. If Moss stays healthy, he may be capable of gathering in 900 yards of catches. Patten is probably good for 700 yards. I predict that Thrash and Jacobs will combine for 600 yards. McCants will still be left out in the cold unless he contributes big-time in the first three or four games.

Tuesday, April 26, 2005

Redskins Draft Class

I'm glad that the Skins stayed put and didn't trade up. Carlos Rogers fills a need but I feel that they would have been much better served taking Mike Williams, who could make an instant impact on offense. Carlos Rogers, on the other hand, will be the third corner behind Springs and Harris, and won't get the ball in his hands to make game-changing plays.

As for the #25 pick in Jason Campbell, the term project pretty much equates to a worst case scenario of bust. I am very down on this pick. What makes matters worse is that the Skins have established #2 and #3 quarterbacks in Brunell and Hasselbeck, respectively. The Skins just recently re-signed Hasselbeck. Perhaps now they plan on trading him away for a low pick in next year's draft? If he stays on the active roster, does Campbell get allocated to NFL Europe and/or the Skins keep 4 QBs on the roster? That seems highly unlikely. This pick should have been used on a WR or DE that can step in and contribute right away. Everything in the NFL is very short term. A QB for the future should have been the least of their concerns.

Monday, April 25, 2005

Cal Bears in the Draft

Rodgers experienced a horrible day, falling from #1 to #24. However, he is in an ideal situation, sitting behind and developing behind the great Brett Favre. He will likely have a much more successful career than Alex Smith. I project that he will also have a better career than Jason Campbell who is going to be far too much of a project.

Arrington went in the second round as projected. He's a bit short but he's powerful and runs with forward lean. He has speed and he blocks well.

I'm shocked that the Saints took a gamble on Lyman as high as they did (in the 4th round). It's a big IF, but he can do a great job if stays injury free.

It's also surprising that Geoff McArthur went undrafted. It's safe to say, though, that someone will sign him as a rookie free agent. He must have graded too slow, not enough straight-line speed nor quickness in and out of breaks. He doesn't have as much upside as other players.

Matt Giordano (whom I neglected to mention in my predictions about Cal players) did have a great season but will need to add about 15-20 pounds to play at the NFL level. He's pretty fast for a safety and should be a pretty good fit for Tony Dungy's cover-2 defense in Indy. Ryan Riddle also went in the 6th round to hometown team Oakland.

Friday, April 22, 2005

NFL Draft Forecast

On the eve before the NFL draft, here are predictions for Redskins moves in the first round.

1. (prediction) The Redskins stupidly package their #9 and #25 picks in the first round and strike a trade with San Francisco for the right to pick Braylon Edwards. I will be very disappointed in Gibbs if the Skins pull off such a foolish move. This is the scenario most recently painted by the Washington Post.

2. If the Skins do keep their picks, they take Pac-Man Jones and Jason Campbell, as seems to be the current consensus. However, I disagree with the Campbell choice, thinking that the Skins should draft for need.

The reason moving to #1 to draft Edwards would be idiotic would be all the sacrifice given up to draft him. It has been pretty well-established that there this no clear-cut stud in this draft, head and shoulders above all others. It was already disheartening that the Skins gave up three picks including a valuable 3rd rounder. Hence, two first-rounders, a 3rd rounder and a 4th rounder next year make for way too steep a price for any rookie. The Skins' last 1st round WR picks have been busts, although bust is a bit extreme to describe Gardner. He's serviceable.

On the other hand, using 1st rounders to sign restricted free agents (like the move to sign Laveranues Coles) would be brilliant. It seems like a no-brainer to sign stars on the rise for the price of a #1 pick rather than play the "lottery" with college kids. Despite Coles wanting out and leaving a bad taste in Skins' fans mouths, he still played his heart out and had been a great acquisition. It's unfortunate that things ended the way they did.

Saturday, April 09, 2005

Free Agents

It was disappointing to lost both Fred Smoot and Antonio Pierce. Both were the "true" Redskins Gibbs says he covet with the character to boot. Depending on what happens in the draft, it would be great to get experienced depth at both positions. One injury to Shawn Springs and the Skins are in major trouble. Walt Harris, Garnell Wilds and Ade Jimoh are not intimidating names. In fact, they very much sound like names that offensive coordinators would be happy to pick on.

Redskins 2005 Draft

What do with the #9 pick? The Skins' position needs are CB and WR. The Skins will likely picked whoever is still on the board between Braylon Edwards, Mike Williams, Antrel Rolle, and Pac-man Jones. And whoever it is, they will sit and learn behind the vets. At WR, the Skins will have Moss and Patten as #1 and #2, respectively. Thrash and Taylor Jacobs will compete for #3 and #4, respectively, with the new draft choice. In case it's Rolle or Jones, then he will compete with Wilds and Jimoh for the nickel slot. Jones has less appeal to the Skins than he does to other teams because the Redskins are set at return men with Morton and Moss.

I would actually be in favor of the Skins trading down for more picks and filling up spots. None of the four choices listed above are likely to make a significant impact in their first year or two.